Subway 500 @ Phoenix

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Sep 3, 2005
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CUP YTD
4-1 +2.70 units (Match-Ups)
1-0 +1.00 unit (Props/FP)
0-1 - 1.20 units (Outrights)
Total: + 2.50 units

Glad to get Daytona out of the way, as for today have some concerns about tires and I hope that it will not be a huge factor in the race.

Match-Ups (all 1 unit plays)

Carl Edwards (-125) over Kurt Busch (@thegreek)
Carl is a definite Top 3 today with a good chance at the win.

Ryan Newman (-110) over Clint Bowyer (@5dimes)
Looking at Newman as a darkhorse contender for the win but a very realistic Top 5. Was 2nd here last time out and won this race last year. Had a 8.75 avg. finish on the short flat tracks last year.
Was slightly better than the 33 in both practices and qualifying.

Mark Martin (+100) over Jeff Gordon (@5dimes)
According to reports all four Hendrick teams are hurting for speed because of set-ups but the 5 and 48 seem to be a step ahead of the 24 and 88 and Mark has really good history here.

Ryan Newman -3.5 (-110) over Dale Jr. (@5dimes)
Joey Logano -2.5 (+105) over Martin Truex (@5dimes)
Haven't played this type of wager before but these two look good to me. Have Logano a potential Top 5 while Truex is 15th or so. Also have Newman Top 5 and Jr. 17th-20th.

Props/FP

1.50 units Ryan Newman (+125) Top 10 (@5dimes)
1.50 units Carl Edwards (+100) Top 5 (@5dimes)
1.00 unit Kyle Busch (+115) under 5.5 (@5dimes)
Along with Edwards the other favorite today

0.75 unit Denny Hamlin (+135) Top 5 (@5dimes)
One of the best on flats but has struggled since blowing the last race here in November

Outrights
0.75 unit Carl Edwards (+550) @5dimes
0.75 unit Kyle Busch (+600) @beted
0.25 unit Ryan Newman (+2400) @beted
0.25 unit Joey Logano (+2200) @beted

Good luck!
 
Joined
Sep 11, 2009
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Best of luck. Been busy this week and didn't pay attention to practice speeds or qualifing.

I like Kyle Busch. Fastest in happy hour and great loss off driver.
 

New member
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Sep 3, 2005
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thanks Bobby....Kyle has a very good shot at the sweep and watch out for the rest of the year
 

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Oct 2, 2009
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GL to ya, shoould be a good race with either bush brother, edwards, or #48 winning imo
 

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